Archer, D., & Rahmstorf, S. (2011). The climate crisis: An introductory guide to climate change. In The Climate Crisis: An Introductory Guide to Climate Change (Vol. 9780521407441). https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817144
Black, E., Brayshaw, D. J., & Rambeau, C. M. C. (2010). Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: Insights from models and observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368(1931). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0199
Busuioc, A., Tomozeiu, R., & Cacciamani, C. (2008). Statistical downscaling model based on canonical correlation analysis for winter extreme precipitation events in the Emilia-Romagna region. International Journal of Climatology, 28(4). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1547
Bytnerowicz, A., Omasa, K., & Paoletti, E. (2007). Integrated effects of air pollution and climate change on forests: A northern hemisphere perspective. Environmental Pollution, 147(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2006.08.028
Clift, P. D., & Plumb, R. A. (2008). The Asian Monsoon: Causes, History and Effects. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511535833
Donat, M. G., Lowry, A. L., Alexander, L. V., O’Gorman, P. A., & Maher, N. (2016). More extreme precipitation in the worldâ €TM s dry and wet regions. Nature Climate Change, 6(5). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2941
Evans, J. P. (2009). 21st century climate change in the Middle East. Climatic Change, 92(3–4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9438-5
Evans, J. P. (2010). Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation processes in the Middle East. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99(3–4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0151-8
Fleitmann, D., Burns, S. J., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Kramers, J., Villa, I., Neff, U., Al-Subbary, A. A., Buettner, A., Hippler, D., & Matter, A. (2007). Holocene ITCZ and Indian monsoon dynamics recorded in stalagmites from Oman and Yemen (Socotra). Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(1–2), 170–188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.04.012
Gupta, A. K., Anderson, D. M., & Overpeck, J. T. (2003). Abrupt changes in the Asian southwest monsoon during the Holocene and their links to the North Atlantic Ocean. Nature, 421(6921n), 354–357. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature01340
Hamzeh, M. A., Mahmudy Gharaie, M. H., Alizadeh Ketek Lahijani, H., Djamali, M., Moussavi Harami, R., & Naderi Beni, A. (2016). Holocene hydrological changes in SE Iran, a key region between Indian Summer Monsoon and Mediterranean winter precipitation zones, as revealed from a lacustrine sequence from Lake Hamoun. Quaternary International, 408, 25–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2015.11.011
IPCC-WGI. (2014). Summary for policymakers. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. In Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability - Contributions of the Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report.
IPCC. (2019). The IPCC and Scenario Development. Scenario Process For AR5.
IPCC, Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R., & B., Z. (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In Cambridge University Press.
Konapala, G., Mishra, A. K., Wada, Y., & Mann, M. E. (2020). Climate change will affect global water availability through compounding changes in seasonal precipitation and evaporation. Nature Communications, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16757-w
Kutzbach, J. E., Chen, G., Cheng, H., Edwards, R. L., & Liu, Z. (2014). Potential role of winter rainfall in explaining increased moisture in the Mediterranean and Middle East during periods of maximum orbitally-forced insolation seasonality. Climate Dynamics, 42(3–4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1692-1
Le Treut, H., Somerville, R., Cubasch, U., Y. Ding, C., Mauritzen, A., Mokssit, T., Peterson, & Prather, M. (2010). Historical Overview of Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 42(8).
Luo, Q., & Yu, Q. (2012). Developing higher resolution climate change scenarios for agricultural risk assessment: Progress, challenges and prospects. In International Journal of Biometeorology (Vol. 56, Issue 4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-011-0488-4
Mehterian, S., Pourmand, A., Sharifi, A., Lahijani, H. A. K., Naderi, M., & Swart, P. K. (2017). Speleothem records of glacial/interglacial climate from Iran forewarn of future Water Availability in the interior of the Middle East. Quaternary Science Reviews, 164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.03.028
Millar, R. J., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Friedlingstein, P., Rogelj, J., Grubb, M. J., Matthews, H. D., Skeie, R. B., Forster, P. M., Frame, D. J., & Allen, M. R. (2017). Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5 °c. Nature Geoscience, 10(10). https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO3031
Nakicenovic, N., Alcamo, J., Grubler, A., Riahi, K., Roehrl, R. A., Rogner, H.-H., & Victor, N. (2000). Special report on emissions scenarios (SRES), a special report of Working Group III of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press.
Qian, B., Gameda, S., Hayhoe, H., De Jong, R., & Bootsma, A. (2004). Comparison of LARS-WG and AAFC-WG stochastic weather generators for diverse Canadian climates. Climate Research, 26(3). https://doi.org/10.3354/cr026175
Rashki, A., Middleton, N. J., & Goudie, A. S. (2021). Dust storms in Iran – Distribution, causes, frequencies and impacts. In Aeolian Research (Vol. 48). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeolia.2020.100655
Safaierad, R., Mohtadi, M., Zolitschka, B., Yokoyama, Y., Vogt, C., & SchefuÃ, E. (2020). Elevated dust depositions in West Asia linked to ocean-atmosphere shifts during North Atlantic cold events. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(31). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004071117
Semenov, M. A., & Barrow, E. M. (1997). Use of a stochastic weather generator in the development of climate change scenarios. Climatic Change, 35(4). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005342632279
Semenov, M. A., Barrow, E. M., & Lars-Wg, A. (2002). A stochastic weather generator for use in climate impact studies. User Man Herts UK.
Semenov, M. A., Pilkington-Bennett, S., & Calanca, P. (2013). Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set. Climate Research, 57(1). https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01164
Semenov, M. A., & Stratonovitch, P. (2010). Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts. Climate Research, 41(1). https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00836
Stevens, L. R., Wright, H. E., & Ito, E. (2001). Proposed changes in seasonality of climate during the Lateglacial and Holocene at Lake Zeribar, Iran. The Holocene, 11(6), 747–755.
Street, R. B., Steynor, A., Bowyer, P., & Humphrey, K. (2009). Delivering and using the UK climate projections 2009. Weather, 64(9). https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.487
Turner, A. G., & Annamalai, H. (2012). Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon. In Nature Climate Change (Vol. 2, Issue 8). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1495
Vaezi, A., Ghazban, F., Tavakoli, V., Routh, J., Beni, A. N. A. N., Bianchi, T. S. T. S. T. S., Curtis, J. H. J. H., & Kylin, H. (2019). A Late Pleistocene-Holocene multi-proxy record of climate variability in the Jazmurian playa, southeastern Iran. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 514. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2018.09.026
Wang, P. X., Wang, B., Cheng, H., Fasullo, J., Guo, Z. T., Kiefer, T., & Liu, Z. Y. (2017). The global monsoon across time scales: Mechanisms and outstanding issues. In Earth-Science Reviews (Vol. 174). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2017.07.006
Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., & Barrow, E. M. (2002). SDSM - A decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts. Environmental Modelling and Software, 17(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/s1364-8152(01)00060-3
Zhisheng, A., Guoxiong, W., Jianping, L., Youbin, S., Yimin, L., Weijian, Z., Yanjun, C., Anmin, D., Li, L., Jiangyu, M., Hai, C., Zhengguo, S., Liangcheng, T., Hong, Y., Hong, A., Hong, C., & Juan, F. (2015). Global monsoon dynamics and climate change. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 43. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-060313-054623.
